Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Chest Infection I Fly In 2 Weeks

North Africa and Islamic countries, popular uprisings and food prices

*

Un mese fa ero di passaggio al Cairo quando un uomo si era appena dato fuoco davanti al Parlamento Egiziano. L'uomo non aveva più diritto ai coupons che gli avevano permesso di comprare pane a prezzo sussidiato per il suo piccolo ristorante. Questa era la notizia con cui apriva il Daily News del 18 Gennaio, il quale riferiva anche che il Ministro degli Esteri aveva escluso per l'Egitto la possibilità di rivolte in stile tunisino. Da lì a un paio di giorni la protesta popolare contro la dittatura di Mubarak è divampata smentendo il lungimirante Ministro.


It was also difficult to pick up the signals and I was wondering how much time the populations of Arab countries and Iran could bear to remain subdued. I just explained to Frederick that the Arabs of Israel had, after all, living conditions far better than their peers living in neighboring Arab countries.
From Tunisia to Egypt and Iran new social strata most educated and dynamic demand an end to corrupt dictatorships nepotistic but there is no doubt that the discontent of the masses that we see in recent weeks comes from further deterioration economic conditions. The mass protest evil because he lives and often hungry. Yet the

' FAO observatory which monitors the price indices of food revealed by six months record increases especially for sugar, oils and grains.

In fact, the world cereal production in 2010 was not bad and has declined only globally 's 1.4% over the previous year. The developing countries have increased production which almost offset the decrease in developed countries. The problem is that global demand continues to grow, generating expectations of reduced stocks, therefore, strong price increases. Floods and drought in Australia in Argentina create further instability in the markets so much so that in December 2010 the price of wheat exports from USA reached U.S. $ 324 per tonne, 70% more than in July.

77 countries worldwide are classified as low-income food-deficit (Low Income Food Deficit Countries, LIFDC). Overall, in 2010, these 77 have increased by 2.5% cereal production compared to 2009. If you outsource the data you see in North Africa, however, that production has fallen by 10%, an important fact. In addition, increased production capacity not LIFDC frees countries from the need to continue to import and, as prices rise, their trade balance worsens.

Continuing to read the FAO report is known in Tunisia as grain production has fallen by 46% compared to 2009 e del 35% rispetto alla media dei 5 anni precedenti. L' Egitto è il più grosso produttore regionale ma è anche il primo importatore di grano al mondo (oltre 10 milioni tons) e due terzi dell'import venivano dalla Russia che però, a causa di una paurosa siccità , ha prima vietato e poi ridotto l'export. L'aumento del prezzo della farina di grano (solo una parte è sussidiata dal governo) si è ripercossa sui prezzi dei prodotti di base e si è aggiunto all'aumento dei prezzi di carne, riso e verdure. La situazione è esplosa anche per questo. Insomma la coperta è corta ed in questo mondo le fluttuazioni (cambiamenti) del clima in Russia o Argentina hanno effetti globali .

Even in the generally peaceful and prosperous Oman there was some protest, but you really must go and find traces in the international press. In this interesting country, with a low population density and a history of the Sultanate of attention to environmental issues, we see conflicts that disrupt neighboring Arab states. Maybe this means something ... maybe then I get proven wrong tomorrow morning.

0 comments:

Post a Comment